Pre-tourney Rankings
Ohio Valley
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
78 Murray St. 1.4%   25 - 5 16 - 0 25 - 5 16 - 0 +6.1      +3.1 78 +3.1 78 70.1 85 +8.2 58 +15.1 1
146 Eastern Kentucky 0.0%   17 - 11 11 - 5 17 - 11 11 - 5 +1.4      +0.7 146 +0.7 146 63.1 264 0.0 161 +1.2 2
149 Belmont 100.0%   15   21 - 10 11 - 5 21 - 10 11 - 5 +1.3      +0.6 149 +0.6 149 71.1 60 +2.6 132 +0.9 3
153 Morehead St. 0.0%   15 - 17 10 - 6 15 - 17 10 - 6 +0.7      +0.3 153 +0.3 153 68.0 128 -2.8 219 -0.7 5
187 Tennessee Martin 0.0%   16 - 12 10 - 6 16 - 12 10 - 6 -1.4      -0.7 187 -0.7 187 59.4 319 -0.5 169 -0.2 4
233 Eastern Illinois 0.0%   15 - 14 9 - 7 15 - 14 9 - 7 -3.8      -1.9 233 -1.9 233 61.3 291 -0.8 177 -1.6 6
235 Southeast Missouri St. 0.0%   11 - 17 7 - 9 11 - 17 7 - 9 -3.9      -1.9 235 -1.9 235 69.7 95 -5.9 268 -4.9 8
250 Tennessee Tech 0.0%   10 - 18 4 - 12 10 - 18 4 - 12 -4.9      -2.5 250 -2.5 250 70.2 83 -6.1 273 -10.5 10
251 SIU Edwardsville 0.0%   10 - 16 8 - 8 10 - 16 8 - 8 -4.9      -2.5 251 -2.5 251 70.6 71 -6.3 279 -2.9 7
310 Jacksonville St. 0.0%   10 - 19 5 - 11 10 - 19 5 - 11 -9.0      -4.5 310 -4.5 310 64.6 215 -7.0 290 -7.8 9
317 Austin Peay 0.0%   6 - 22 3 - 13 6 - 22 3 - 13 -9.9      -5.0 317 -5.0 317 71.0 64 -9.8 314 -11.5 11
331 Tennessee St. 0.0%   3 - 26 2 - 14 3 - 26 2 - 14 -12.3      -6.1 331 -6.1 331 64.3 232 -15.2 342 -14.3 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Murray St. 1.0 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 2.0 100.0
Belmont 2.0 100.0
Morehead St. 4.0 100.0
Tennessee Martin 4.0 100.0
Eastern Illinois 6.0 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 8.0 100.0
Tennessee Tech 10.0 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 7.0 100.0
Jacksonville St. 9.0 100.0
Austin Peay 11.0 100.0
Tennessee St. 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Murray St. 16 - 0 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 11 - 5 100.0
Belmont 11 - 5 100.0
Morehead St. 10 - 6 100.0
Tennessee Martin 10 - 6 100.0
Eastern Illinois 9 - 7 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 7 - 9 100.0
Tennessee Tech 4 - 12 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 8 - 8 100.0
Jacksonville St. 5 - 11 100.0
Austin Peay 3 - 13 100.0
Tennessee St. 2 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Murray St. 100.0% 100.0
Eastern Kentucky
Belmont
Morehead St.
Tennessee Martin
Eastern Illinois
Southeast Missouri St.
Tennessee Tech
SIU Edwardsville
Jacksonville St.
Austin Peay
Tennessee St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Murray St. 1.4% 0.0% 1.4% 0.3 1.1 0.0 98.6 1.4%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Belmont 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   1.2 28.5 63.6 6.6
Morehead St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Murray St. 1.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Belmont 100.0% 0.2% 99.9% 4.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morehead St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 98.6 1.4
1st Round 99.9% 1.0 0.1 99.4 0.5
2nd Round 4.9% 0.0 95.1 4.9 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0